Booms and Busts

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China’s Biggest Problem Isn’t Trump, It’s a Broken Banking System

Booms and BustsFinancial MarketsGlobal Economy

Blog08/06/2019

While much of the media remains focused on Trump and trade, the greatest threat to the Chinese economy may be reckoning with a massive financial bubble from within.

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Is 2019 the New 2006?

Booms and BustsGlobal EconomyU.S. Economy

The main indicators of the economic cycle point to a possible crisis and recession in the US economy. and maybe also in Europe.

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Is Deutsche Bank a Canary in the Economic Coal Mine?

Booms and BustsBusiness Cycles

Blog07/25/2019

The negative consequences of expansionary monetary policies take a while to show up, but Deutsche Bank's collapse may be the first sign of failure. 

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Are Expectations the Driving Force Behind Business Cycles?

Booms and BustsBusiness Cycles

Blog07/22/2019

Even if business people learn to expect easy-money caused bubbles and busts — this would still not prevent the formation of a boom-bust cycle. 

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Austrian Business Cycle Theory, Explained

Booms and BustsAustrian Economics OverviewBusiness Cycles

Blog07/09/2019

The “boom-bust” cycle is generated by monetary intervention in the market, specifically bank credit expansion to business. 

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The Zombie (Company) Apocalypse Is Here

Booms and BustsBusiness Cycles

Blog06/21/2019

The world now has the impossible choice of permanently reduced productivity and slower economic growth — or the mass bankruptcy of a significant percentage of the economy.

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Boombustology: Can Mises and Minsky Help Investors Spot Bubbles?

Book ReviewsBooms and BustsFinancial Markets

Blog06/10/2019

Vikram Mansharamani’s second edition of Boombustology: Spotting Financial Bubbles Before They Burst has all the great insights from the first edition plus a foreword by James Grant.

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The Risk of Trump's Trade War Is More Than Just Higher Prices

Booms and BustsGlobal EconomyProtectionism and Free Trade

Blog05/28/2019

It is the lethal combination of tariffs and the end of the expansionary phase of the credit cycle which should concern us.

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Why Turkey's Debt Crisis is a Bigger Risk to the Eurozone than the PIGS

Booms and BustsFinancial MarketsGlobal Economy

Blog05/21/2019

Unlike Greece, Italy or other seriously debt-laden economies, it’s not just government borrowing that’s the main risk to Turkey.

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The Economic Recessions of the Late 1970s and Early 1990s

Booms and BustsFinancial MarketsU.S. History

Blog04/18/2019

The most characteristic feature of post-WWII business cycles is that they have originated in deliberately inflationary policies directed by central banks. 

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